Conservatives out in front

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January 18, 2011 by Joseph Krohn

The latest Canadian Press/Harris Decima measure of voting intention reveals

  • Nationally, over the last two weeks, the Conservatives have opened up an eight point lead. The Conservatives stand at 36%, to 28% for the Liberals, 15% for the NDP, 9% for the Greens, and 9% for the BQ. The Conservatives have hit the 36% level for the first time since last May, and their 8-point lead is the largest gap recorded since last July.
  • In Quebec, the BQ remains well in front. Here, they stand at 40%, to 20% for the Liberals, 18% for the Conservatives, 13% for the NDP, and 7% for the Greens.
  • In Ontario, the Conservatives hold a five point lead. The Conservatives currently hold 39% support, to 34% for the Liberals, 15% for the NDP, and 10% for the Greens.
  • The Conservatives and Liberals are neck and neck in BC. Here, the Conservatives are at 34%, the Liberals 32%, the NDP 24%, and the Greens 9%.
  • The Conservatives remain the dominant party on the Prairies. In Manitoba and Saskatchewan, the Conservatives are at 49%, to 20% for the NDP, 19% for the Liberals, and 10% for the Greens. In Alberta, the Conservatives hold 61% support, to 18% for the Liberals, 12% for the Greens and 6% for the NDP.
  • The Liberals remain in front in Atlantic Canada. Here, the Liberals stand at 42%, to 35% for the Conservatives, 15% for the NDP, and 4% for the Greens.


Often when it comes to federal elections the Conservatives pick up momentum, while the Liberals often stagnate or drop back.  Conservatives projection stands at 138 compared to the 143 that they have currently.  If a spring election does come… they may be able to achieive enough momentum to get the required 155 seats to form a majority government.

As Prime Minister Harper said the voters basically have two options: “A majority Conservative government” or “a Coalition of three parties (Liberals, NDP, Bloc) that all lost the election to form the government.”

It is time for Canada to intrust the Conservatives with a majority mandate to govern.  Canada is coming out of the recession well… the economy is strengthening… now it is time to see if the Conservatives would govern any differently than the Liberals did with their majority governments!


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