Canada Votes 2008

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October 15, 2008 by Joseph Krohn

My Predictions:

  1. Conservative Party: 40% = 157 seats
  2. Liberal Party: 21% = 77 seats
  3. NDP: 21% = 32 seats
  4. Blocks: 10% = 41 seats
  5. Green: 7% = 0 seats
  6. Independents: 1% = 1 seat

Actual Results:

  1. Conservatives: 38% – 143 seats
  2. Liberals: 26% – 76 seats
  3. NDP: 18% – 37 seats
  4. Bloc: 10% – 50 seats
  5. Green: 7% – 0 seats
  6. Independent: 0.65% – 2 seats

The Conservatives – failed to do as well in Atlantic Canada as I had hoped – but the Summerside Riding in PEI came out as a surprising victory!  They failed to do as well in Quebec as was previously anticipated.  Congratulations to Mr. Harper for his parties victory in Nunavut.  Margin of error: 2% – 14 seats.

Liberals – They did exceed my expectations on the popular vote – but also lost one more seat than I anticipated.   Margin of error: 5% – and subtract one seat.

NDP – They captured a few more seats than was anticipated – they won surprising victories in Ontario as well as breaking the Conservative shut-out of Alberta.  For their new MP from Alberta it would seem strategic voting does work – Mr. Layton must thank Mr. Dion for this seat.  Margin of error: -3% of the popular vote and captured 5 more seats than was anticipated.

Blocs – Captured nine more seats than was antipated – won continuous victories over the Liberals and Conservative contenders – lost one potential seat to the NDP.

Green – The Greens behaved just like they should have – all defeats!

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One thought on “Canada Votes 2008

  1. charlotte says:

    Joe,
    Just checking in to see your take on the elections this week.
    Ya’ll need to come visit the school soon!
    Blessings,
    Charlotte

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